House fire deaths: https://www.nfpa.org/education-and-research/research/nfpa-research/fire-statistical-reports/fire-loss-in-the-united-states
Based on cursory WWW research, the ODDS of dying in a house fire are 5-10 times greater for someone that is poor.
Assume roughly 3,000 people die in house fires each year … at least 2,500 of these deaths are connected to low income communities. The Rothschild guy is not in this group.
Mr. Rothschild’s odds? Not even 1/3000 of these annual.
There are about 800 billionaires in the US. As a portion, it is 0.0000001% of that 3000 number. So saying Rothschild’s odds are 1/3000 is too fair, too big a portion, but let’s err on that side of the equation.
So, assume the US population is 334 million. 0.000008982 of the population dies from fires each year. If we are GENEROUS, 1/3000th of this number are people LIKE Rothschild.
But does it seem likely? A well trained actuary would definitely provide a more formal analysis, but if you included ALL the factors: demographic, neighborhood, income, gender, age, race, etc, I think his odds of “dying from house fire” become similar to “dying from meteor strike”.
1st Assumption: billionaires generally have GREAT security systems with offline capability and fire detection, and fire control built in.
2nd Assumption: billionaire families with something to HIDE have even better security.
But what do we really know?
- There are more than 2 options here.
- A LOT of powerful people have “died mysteriously” or retired since 2018. Steady uptick in the last decade.
- If you had a million dollars to burn, could you fake your death?
… and then there’s popping smoke …
