Here are some wildcards worth thinking about:
- Will Iran use its ability in the area of anti-satellite tech, and if they do could this trigger Kessler Syndrome?
- Will Pakistan end up supporting Iran?
- Does China/Russia et al see the handwriting, finally, and decide on a decapitation strike against the USA? (MAD works against us in this case)
- Does Trump try to invade Iran?
- Does Iran have nukes and are these distributed to the separate 31 commands?
- If Iran has nukes, are any of them mounted on ballistic missiles?
- Does the MOSSAD assassinate Bibi in order to forestall WW3 and the utter destruction of Israel?
- What does $200/barrel oil look like? What happens to diesel prices immediately? What happens to the derivatives and CDS dark markets with >$200/barrel oil?
- Can the USA rapidly increase its production of critical weapons? (probably not)
- Will rational minds in WA DC join forces to impeach Trump and stop the war? (probably not) AIPAC owns our government at this point.
- Will Israel exercise the SAMSON OPTION if Israel is threatened existentially?
- What will regional “neighbors” do if it looks like Iran is winning?
- Is the USA ready for a humiliating exodus from the Middle East, militarily?













