In many cases of “peace” or harmony with bullies, we find peace because one or more members of the groups want to take down the the bully, but they don’t communicate and are afraid to act first. This is a variant of the prisoner’s dilemma …
There are many reasons why the situation is unstable right now, and very little of this might have to do with the IRAN situation; however, I think the IRAN situation is showing many players that NOW is the time to pile on.
Between the UKRAINE WAR that looks like the SOMME 1916 and the IRAN debacle, Trump has either purposefully or accidentally shown the USA to be a paper tiger and that if ALL THE POORS stood up to the bully at once? – the outcomes would shift further.
When I was in graduate school I called this “firestorm” theory, and mainly as a buttress to the whole “we can fight 2.5 wars” bullshit.
This situation is showing we can’t win ONE war at this point: Iraq, Afghanistan, … etc.